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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Guangdong has issued a batch of personnel appointments and dismissals. According to the news of WeChat official account, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government has appointed and dismissed staff. Appoint Guan Jin as the deputy director of the General Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year; Appointed Chen Yongkang as Deputy Director of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Justice; Zhang Hezhi was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Appointed Ke Mofu as Deputy Director of the Local Records Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Liu Huilin was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year. Li Mingliang was removed from the post of chairman of Guangdong Inspection and Certification Institute Group Co., Ltd.; Jin Ping was removed from the post of deputy director of the Guangdong Provincial Ethnic and Religious Affairs Committee and retired; Lai Haibin was removed from the post of director (deputy department level) of Guangdong Ecological Environmental Protection Supervision Office and retired; Jiao Fangtai was removed from the post of vice president of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and retired; Chen Tinggen was removed from the post of vice president of Wuyi University and retired; Wu Qifeng was removed from the post of Dean of Guangdong Songshan Vocational and Technical College and retired; Jasmine Zhang was removed from the post of president of Maoming Vocational and Technical College and retired; Tan Xuerui was removed from the post of Dean of Shantou University School of Medicine and retired.Guosheng Financial Holdings hit the daily limit in the afternoon and staged the "Earth Sky Board". The turnover exceeded 3.5 billion yuan, and the stock price approached an all-time high.

Guangdong has issued a batch of personnel appointments and dismissals. According to the news of WeChat official account, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government has appointed and dismissed staff. Appoint Guan Jin as the deputy director of the General Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year; Appointed Chen Yongkang as Deputy Director of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Justice; Zhang Hezhi was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Appointed Ke Mofu as Deputy Director of the Local Records Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Liu Huilin was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year. Li Mingliang was removed from the post of chairman of Guangdong Inspection and Certification Institute Group Co., Ltd.; Jin Ping was removed from the post of deputy director of the Guangdong Provincial Ethnic and Religious Affairs Committee and retired; Lai Haibin was removed from the post of director (deputy department level) of Guangdong Ecological Environmental Protection Supervision Office and retired; Jiao Fangtai was removed from the post of vice president of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and retired; Chen Tinggen was removed from the post of vice president of Wuyi University and retired; Wu Qifeng was removed from the post of Dean of Guangdong Songshan Vocational and Technical College and retired; Jasmine Zhang was removed from the post of president of Maoming Vocational and Technical College and retired; Tan Xuerui was removed from the post of Dean of Shantou University School of Medicine and retired.CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.Guangzhou Metro won the Asian Games Avenue plot in Panyu District, Guangzhou with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the website of Guangzhou Public Resource Trading Center, on December 13th, Guangzhou Metro Group Co., Ltd. won the Asian Games Avenue plot BD0210116 in Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the transfer documents, the plot is planned to be a second-class residential land, a primary and secondary school land and a commercial land compatible with roads and transportation facilities; The parcel area is 99,936.54 square meters, of which the leased parcel area is 85,151.63 square meters, and the calculated floor area ratio is 118,396 square meters.

In 2024, the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China was 4.488 billion yuan, up 55.13% year-on-year. On December 12th, Tang Jiajun, deputy secretary-general of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and secretary-general of the Game Working Committee, released the Report on the Survey of the Global Console Game Market in 2024 and the Report on the Protection of Minors in China Game Industry in 2024, which pointed out that the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China in 2024 reached 4.488 billion yuan, up 55% year-on-year. In 2024, the number of console game users in China reached 11,546,300, up 14.05% year-on-year. The launch of the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" has greatly increased the market size, user size and even the sales of host equipment in China, and promoted the development of the host game market in China.By 13:42, 100 stocks in the two cities had daily limit.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.